Aurora Forecast

Can you see the aurora?
To determine if the aurora will be visible from your area, follow these steps for using the auroral forecast website.
Auroral Activity Extrapolated from NOAA POES

Instruments on board the NOAA Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (POES) continually monitor the power flux carried by the protons and electrons that produce aurora in the atmosphere. SWPC has developed a technique that uses the power flux observations obtained during a single pass of the satellite over a polar region (which takes about 25 minutes) to estimate the total power deposited in an entire polar region by these auroral particles. The power input estimate is converted to an auroral activity index that ranges from 1 to 10.

Auroras are difficult to predict with precision. They have stops and starts (known as sub-storms). If you are out there, you need to be patient and lucky. Here are some tools that will increase your chances.

Predicting the Aurora Borealis
The sun has a heartbeat. Every eleven years or so it beats, and it beats hard. This is known as the solar cycle and is measured by the number of sunspots visible on the sun. The more sunspots, the more solar flare energy is being released into space (which means more aurora activity!).

SOHO Exploring the Sun:

Daily Aurora Forecast

Real-time plots auroral activity

A source for Information, links and images about the “Northern Lights” on-line since the Web began